Tuesday, Aug 18, 2026 · Closed Primary · Florida
Independent Veterans of America · Field Note

More Floridians are locked out of
Tuesday’s primary than voted in the last one.

Every spike is one of Florida’s 67 counties · height = its registered no-party voters · cyan = where independent veterans are on the November ballot (FL-03 outlined; West Melbourne beaconed) · drag to rotate, hover a county, +/− to zoom

Florida holds closed primaries. On Tuesday it picks nominees for Congress and the legislature — and 3,324,324 registered no-party Floridians, 24.8% of the state’s voters, are barred from every one of those contests. That is more people than cast a ballot in Florida’s entire 2024 primary. Among them, an estimated 640,785 veterans.

They can’t fix it now, either. Florida’s books closed on July 20 — a party change after that date does not count for this primary.

The scale

More shut out than
showed up.

Compare the people Florida bars from its nominating primaries against the people who actually voted in the last one. This is not a modeled estimate — both figures come from the state’s own reports.

3,324,324Registered no-party voters · barred from Tuesday’s primaries
3,029,269Ballots actually cast · Florida’s Aug 2024 primary, all parties

Add the 493,188 minor-party Floridians who are also shut out of both major-party primaries and the total reaches 3,817,512 — more than voted in the 2024 primary and more than voted in 2022 (3,701,549).

24.8%Of Florida’s 13,426,540 registered voters
have no say in choosing nominees
The rolls

Florida’s third-largest bloc
has no ballot.

5,569,028 Republicans41.5% · may vote in the Republican primary
4,040,000 Democrats30.1% · may vote in the Democratic primary
3,324,324 no party24.8% · locked out of both
493,188 minor parties3.7% · locked out of both

Florida’s books closed July 20, 2026 — 29 days before the primary. Under Fla. Stat. 97.055, a change of party affiliation made after book closing does not take effect for that election. Every one of these 3,817,512 voters had to decide a month early whether to join a party, and those who didn’t are out.

Who it hits hardest

The veteran lockout

1,307,724Florida veterans · ACS 2024, civilian 18+
~640,785Est. veterans who identify independent · 49% identity share

Florida’s 1st District is the most veteran-dense congressional district in America — 15.7% of its civilian adults are veterans, 97,131 people, ahead of every other district in the country. Its primary is closed too.

Where we’re running

Two independent veterans,
neither on Tuesday’s ballot.

In Florida a candidate with no party affiliation never appears in a primary — under Fla. Stat. 99.0955, qualifying puts them straight onto the general election ballot. Municipal races run on their own November calendar. So both of these veterans skip Tuesday entirely, and so do the voters they need.

FL-03 · U.S. House · No Party Affiliation

Mike Klein

Qualified for the November ballot June 8, 2026. Army infantry officer, West Point class of 1989, deployed to Operation Desert Storm.

Veterans in the district57,045
Independents · modeled200,054
On the Aug 18 primary ballotNo
On the Nov 3 general ballotYes
West Melbourne City Council · Independent

Lacey Villareal

U.S. Air Force veteran and military spouse, running in Brevard County for responsible growth, environmental stewardship, and a city hall answerable to residents rather than party bosses.

JurisdictionWest Melbourne
Ballot statusQualified · Jul 31, 2026
On the Aug 18 primary ballotNo
On the Nov 3 general ballotYes
FL-03 · What Tuesday actually decides

A four-way primary
on one side only

The Republican incumbent drew no primary challenger at all. The only congressional contest on FL-03’s ballot Tuesday is the Democratic primary — the nomination for the side that lost this district by 23 points in 2024. Every no-party voter in the district is shut out of it.

County by county

All 67 counties.
Every one has a locked-out bloc.

Each bar is a Florida county; its height is that county’s registered no-party voters — official state rolls, not an estimate. From 390,566 in Miami-Dade to 270 in Lafayette.

Miami-Dade County: 390,566 no-party voters (30.4% of 1,284,475 registered)Broward County: 315,380 no-party voters (29.2% of 1,080,909 registered)Orange County: 236,419 no-party voters (29.5% of 800,873 registered)Palm Beach County: 233,367 no-party voters (26.7% of 872,887 registered)Hillsborough County: 213,288 no-party voters (26.6% of 803,277 registered)Pinellas County: 152,069 no-party voters (25.2% of 602,909 registered)Duval County: 142,705 no-party voters (22.1% of 645,017 registered)Lee County: 125,121 no-party voters (25.4% of 491,877 registered)Polk County: 111,030 no-party voters (24.6% of 451,355 registered)Brevard County: 105,985 no-party voters (24.2% of 437,809 registered)Volusia County: 101,903 no-party voters (25.8% of 394,801 registered)Pasco County: 101,019 no-party voters (25.4% of 398,441 registered)Seminole County: 98,575 no-party voters (29.1% of 338,647 registered)Sarasota County: 73,501 no-party voters (22.4% of 327,834 registered)Osceola County: 70,195 no-party voters (30.4% of 230,795 registered)Lake County: 65,889 no-party voters (23.7% of 277,802 registered)Manatee County: 64,698 no-party voters (23% of 281,127 registered)Collier County: 58,000 no-party voters (22.2% of 261,257 registered)St. Lucie County: 57,014 no-party voters (23.7% of 240,652 registered)Marion County: 50,868 no-party voters (19.2% of 264,971 registered)St. Johns County: 49,409 no-party voters (20.7% of 238,385 registered)Escambia County: 38,494 no-party voters (18.9% of 203,517 registered)Alachua County: 37,379 no-party voters (22.7% of 164,612 registered)Leon County: 35,567 no-party voters (19.5% of 182,560 registered)Charlotte County: 33,037 no-party voters (21.7% of 152,475 registered)Okaloosa County: 30,659 no-party voters (21% of 145,673 registered)Hernando County: 29,914 no-party voters (22% of 136,021 registered)Clay County: 29,146 no-party voters (19% of 153,078 registered)Santa Rosa County: 25,287 no-party voters (17.9% of 141,227 registered)Indian River County: 24,136 no-party voters (20.5% of 117,710 registered)Martin County: 23,763 no-party voters (20.6% of 115,410 registered)Bay County: 23,455 no-party voters (18.7% of 125,440 registered)Sumter County: 23,428 no-party voters (18.4% of 127,470 registered)Citrus County: 22,525 no-party voters (18.9% of 118,959 registered)Flagler County: 20,622 no-party voters (21% of 98,247 registered)Nassau County: 14,776 no-party voters (18.3% of 80,572 registered)Monroe County: 12,570 no-party voters (23% of 54,543 registered)Highlands County: 11,594 no-party voters (18.7% of 61,984 registered)Walton County: 9,655 no-party voters (15.5% of 62,119 registered)Putnam County: 6,988 no-party voters (15.6% of 44,652 registered)Columbia County: 6,170 no-party voters (15% of 41,207 registered)Wakulla County: 4,103 no-party voters (16.1% of 25,507 registered)Levy County: 4,044 no-party voters (13.5% of 29,894 registered)Hendry County: 3,580 no-party voters (18.9% of 18,975 registered)Suwannee County: 3,465 no-party voters (13.1% of 26,529 registered)Okeechobee County: 3,111 no-party voters (15.2% of 20,531 registered)DeSoto County: 3,055 no-party voters (19.3% of 15,845 registered)Gadsden County: 2,834 no-party voters (10.7% of 26,580 registered)Jackson County: 2,626 no-party voters (9.8% of 26,905 registered)Bradford County: 2,006 no-party voters (12% of 16,669 registered)Hardee County: 1,958 no-party voters (17.2% of 11,358 registered)Baker County: 1,881 no-party voters (10.6% of 17,721 registered)Washington County: 1,703 no-party voters (11.6% of 14,684 registered)Gilchrist County: 1,526 no-party voters (11.9% of 12,811 registered)Dixie County: 1,325 no-party voters (13.4% of 9,905 registered)Gulf County: 1,284 no-party voters (11.7% of 10,991 registered)Madison County: 1,206 no-party voters (11.6% of 10,410 registered)Holmes County: 1,198 no-party voters (10.6% of 11,286 registered)Jefferson County: 1,157 no-party voters (11.7% of 9,858 registered)Franklin County: 1,095 no-party voters (14.4% of 7,592 registered)Glades County: 1,079 no-party voters (16% of 6,758 registered)Taylor County: 970 no-party voters (8.4% of 11,611 registered)Hamilton County: 799 no-party voters (11.3% of 7,042 registered)Calhoun County: 758 no-party voters (10.1% of 7,531 registered)Union County: 660 no-party voters (9.1% of 7,217 registered)Liberty County: 465 no-party voters (10.3% of 4,529 registered)Lafayette County: 270 no-party voters (6.4% of 4,225 registered)Miami-Dade · 391KBroward · 315KOrange · 236KPalm Beach · 233KHillsborough · 213K
67 counties · sorted by registered no-party voters · hover any bar · FL Division of Elections, 2026-06-30
Method & sources

Where these numbers come from

The lockout is registration, not a model

3,324,324 = active registered voters with No Party Affiliation, from the Florida Division of Elections’ own party-affiliation report as of 2026-06-30 — the most recent statewide figure published. The 67 county figures on the map and the wall sum exactly to it.

The veteran figure is a labeled estimate

1,307,724 veterans is real (ACS 2024 1-Year, table S2101, civilian 18+). The ~640,785 who identify independent applies the 49% veteran independent-identification share — an identity estimate, used only for the veteran slice, never for the lockout total.

Consistent with the rest of the Data Lab

Same figures as Florida’s state fact sheet, the 2026 Primary Calendar, and The Wall — registration where the state counts it, modeled only where it doesn’t.

Sources: Florida Division of Elections, Voter Registration by Party Affiliation and by County and Party (2026-06-30) · Fla. Stat. 97.055 (book closing) · U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 1-Year, table S2101 · congressional-district boundaries, U.S. Census. Compiled by Independent Veterans of America.

Shut out Tuesday.
Decisive in November.

3,324,324 no-party Floridians have no say in choosing Tuesday’s nominees — and every one of them can vote on November 3, where an independent veteran is on the ballot.

Florida fact sheet →
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